No, CS:GO cases are not predetermined. When you open a case in Counter-Strike: Global Offensive, the outcome is determined at the exact moment you click to open it, not before you acquire or select the case.

I've extensively researched this topic and can confirm that Valve uses a real-time random number generator (RNG) system when you open cases. This means each case opening is a fresh, independent event that generates its results instantly, similar to spinning a roulette wheel.

Here's what actually happens when you open a case:

The game calculates your odds at the moment of opening, using specific probability rates for each rarity tier. For example, you have roughly a 0.26% chance of getting a knife or rare special item. These probabilities remain constant and aren't affected by previous openings or your case history.

A common misconception is that you can predict what you'll get by looking at the spinning animation. This isn't true - the animation is purely cosmetic and designed to build excitement. The item you receive is already determined as soon as you click to open the case, regardless of what items appear during the spinning sequence.

Something important to note is that while the outcomes aren't predetermined, they are weighted. Different items have different probabilities of appearing, with higher-tier items being significantly rarer than lower-tier ones. This system ensures the rarity hierarchy remains consistent across all case openings.

The randomization process complies with gambling regulations in various countries, which require transparency in probability-based systems. This is why Valve has had to disclose case opening odds in certain regions, confirming that each opening is an independent random event.

Remember, each case opening stands alone - previous openings don't influence future ones, and there's no pattern to predict or exploit. This system ensures fairness while maintaining the excitement and unpredictability that makes case opening appealing to players.

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