CS2 cases contain valuable skins and items with varying probabilities of being obtained. Here's a comprehensive breakdown of the odds:

Knife Skins: 0.254% chance

• Any knife skin has this base probability
• Rare knife variants have significantly lower odds
• Official Valve data confirms 0.26% drop rate

Covert (Red) Skins: 0.64% chance

• Higher probability than knives but still rare
• Most sought-after regular weapon skins

Glove Skins: 0.254% chance (same as knives)

• Only available in specific glove cases
• Extremely valuable due to rarity

Sticker Capsule Odds:

• Foil (Pink) - Rarest
• Holo (Purple) - Uncommon
• High-Grade (Blue) - Most common *Exact odds not officially disclosed

Souvenir Package Odds:

• Consumer Grade: 79.87%
• Industrial Grade: 15.97%
• Mil-Spec: 3.33%
• Restricted: 0.66%
• Classified: 0.13%
• Covert: 0.027%

General Rarity Tiers (Most Common to Rarest):

1. Consumer Grade (White)
2. Industrial Grade (Light blue)
3. Mil-Spec (Darker blue)
4. Restricted (Purple)
5. Classified (Pinkish purple)
6. Covert (Red)

Additional factors affecting item value:

• StatTrak™ variants (tracks kills)
• Wear levels (Battle-Scarred to Factory New)
• Market demand
• Visual appeal
• Professional player association

For best results when opening cases:

• Research market trends
• Choose cases strategically
• Consider timing of openings
• Use reputable platforms for purchases
• Understand drop rates and probabilities

Remember that case opening is largely chance-based, and profitable outcomes are not guaranteed.

Related Articles

Previous Articles